"Phil has an accuracy rate of 46 percent nationwide. Looking at his last 50 predictions, Phil has predicted winter more often than not - 36 times, or approximately three out of four predictions. Nationwide, he has only been right 23 of those times, giving him a 46 percent accuracy rate."
https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news...ccuracy%20rate.
About the same as the weatherman forecasting more than ten days out. LOL!