and just how can he predict what the weather will do to these crops?
and has he also figured in the fact that many states where the farmers are planting cotton are doing so for the very first time so NOBODY knows if it will even grow..and if it does, they still do not know how they will get it to a GIN or storage area because not all states have them, so if they have to truck/train it out that expense will be added to finally cost of the goods....and in states like TX which grows the most already, if it can not be shipped out to the gins right away or if the gins and storage places are full it has to sit in the fields and MOLD so it is of lesser value when it does get to the gin...so....really....
That is like predicting whether or not the wind will blow in OK on any given day....